Novelda CF vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
MON
0 - 0
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
NOV
1 - 3
TCF
29%
30%
41%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
ALI
1 - 0
NOV
77%
16%
7%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
NOV
1 - 0
REQ
49%
27%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
ALA
2 - 0
NOV
68%
20%
12%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
SAG
3 - 0
CAS
74%
18%
8%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
VIJ
2 - 2
SAG
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
ONT
1 - 1
SAG
53%
26%
21%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
SAG
2 - 1
ELC
63%
22%
16%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
RAC
2 - 0
SAG
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |