Novelda CF vs UD Aspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 0
NOV
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
BFL
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RAV
0 - 1
NOV
14%
21%
65%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
ALM
57%
23%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 1
NOV
21%
24%
55%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Aspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ASP
0 - 1
BEN
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RAY
3 - 0
ASP
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ASP
2 - 1
UNI
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CRE
4 - 2
ASP
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ASP
1 - 1
RED
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |