Novelda CF vs UD Alzira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 0
UTI
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GAN
0 - 1
NOV
32%
27%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
CAS
38%
28%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
NOV
45%
23%
32%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
SAG
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALZ
1 - 1
CRE
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ACE
0 - 2
ALZ
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ALZ
2 - 1
BUR
58%
22%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RIB
0 - 3
ALZ
29%
28%
43%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ALZ
1 - 1
LLO
69%
20%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |