Novelda CF vs UD Alzira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAG
0 - 2
NOV
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAS
21%
26%
53%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 1
NOV
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 3
REQ
76%
17%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
6 - 0
NOV
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ALZ
4 - 1
NUC
57%
23%
19%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 3
ALZ
12%
25%
63%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ALZ
6 - 2
ALI
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ELD
0 - 0
ALZ
16%
27%
58%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALZ
3 - 3
LLO
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |