Novelda CF vs Almoradí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
NOV
65%
19%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
TOR
4%
10%
87%
|
8 | 29 | 21 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PIN
2 - 0
NOV
90%
8%
2%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 2
NUD
19%
21%
60%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
RED
4 - 1
NOV
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Almoradí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 2
ATL
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
ALM
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALM
4 - 2
MUR
39%
23%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VIJ
0 - 2
ALM
49%
23%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 0
CRE
12%
21%
68%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +2 |