Novelda CF vs Albacete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
IND
3 - 1
NOV
91%
7%
2%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
NOV
0 - 2
ELD
14%
22%
65%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
NOV
1 - 1
CFC
22%
24%
54%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
ELC
5 - 1
NOV
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
NOV
0 - 0
JUM
43%
25%
32%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ALB
2 - 0
ELC
76%
15%
10%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
JUM
0 - 1
ALB
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ALB
3 - 1
LOR
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
ROD
1 - 2
ALB
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
ALB
4 - 0
CIE
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |