Novelda CF vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
VAL
3 - 1
NOV
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
NOV
0 - 1
VCF
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 91 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
NOV
3 - 0
ATB
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ALI
2 - 0
NOV
41%
27%
31%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
NOV
1 - 2
RMC
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ALC
0 - 0
BEN
39%
28%
33%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALC
56%
25%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ALC
1 - 2
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
HER
0 - 0
ALC
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ALC
1 - 1
GET
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |