Novelda CF vs CD Acero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
SDS
1 - 1
NOV
36%
29%
35%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
NOV
4 - 2
GIM
62%
22%
15%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
BUR
0 - 1
NOV
29%
29%
43%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
NOV
0 - 0
RJA
29%
30%
41%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
MAL
1 - 1
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ACE
1 - 1
ALM
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
SAN
2 - 1
ACE
13%
22%
65%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | -2 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
MUX
1 - 3
ACE
21%
25%
54%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
ACE
2 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
VIL
0 - 2
ACE
11%
22%
67%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |