Novelda CF vs CD Acero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
ONT
1 - 1
NOV
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
NOV
2 - 0
VIL
56%
26%
19%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
PAT
2 - 1
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
NOV
1 - 2
UDP
55%
26%
19%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
VIL
3 - 0
NOV
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
ACE
0 - 0
ALI
49%
27%
24%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
OLI
3 - 2
ACE
68%
19%
12%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
ACE
1 - 1
ALC
53%
27%
21%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
CRE
0 - 3
ACE
67%
20%
13%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
ACE
1 - 0
VIN
45%
27%
29%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |