Novelda B vs UD Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
COC
4 - 2
NOV
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ELD
5 - 6
NOV
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 3
ALT
19%
19%
61%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BON
9 - 0
NOV
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 5
PSP
16%
18%
66%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
UD Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
UDA
0 - 2
COC
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 3
UDA
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
UDA
1 - 1
PSP
59%
19%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CDI
1 - 2
UDA
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
UDA
3 - 2
SPO
63%
18%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |