Novelda B vs Sp. Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 3
NOV
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
SPO
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 1
MOI
37%
24%
39%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
MUR
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
TOU
7 - 1
NOV
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sp. Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
ENG
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 0
SPO
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LOL
1 - 2
SPO
77%
15%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
3 - 1
POB
58%
22%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 0
SPO
33%
24%
44%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |