Novelda B vs Sp. Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
POB
3 - 0
NOV
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 2
UDC
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LOL
3 - 0
NOV
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
MOI
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
NOV
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sp. Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
EMF
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 3
SPO
37%
24%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
ALC
74%
16%
11%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
UDC
2 - 0
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
IDE
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |