Novelda B vs Novelda UCF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
21%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+183%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 0
PEA
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
XIX
0 - 2
NOV
27%
20%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 3
CAS
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
NOV
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 3
PET
17%
19%
64%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
NUC
3 - 1
PEA
30%
21%
50%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BNY
6 - 1
NUC
55%
19%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NUC
1 - 1
BIA
49%
20%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 1
NUC
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NUC
2 - 1
RAY
31%
20%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |