Novelda B vs Monforte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+183%
+133%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ESI
2 - 1
NOV
28%
20%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
NOV
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BNY
2 - 0
NOV
32%
21%
46%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 1
BIA
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 3
NOV
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
BIA
66%
18%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
PEA
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
BNY
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ASP
3 - 2
MON
71%
15%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 3
RAY
42%
22%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |