Novelda B vs L'Olleria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MOI
0 - 0
NOV
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
SPO
49%
22%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
EMF
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
NOV
31%
23%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
NOV
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
L'Olleria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LOL
4 - 0
EMF
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 4
LOL
13%
19%
69%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LOL
6 - 0
ALC
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UDC
2 - 0
LOL
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 0
LOL
38%
24%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |