Novelda B vs Esides Caramanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
60.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+183%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 2
VIL
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
PEA
2 - 4
NOV
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 2
BNY
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BIA
2 - 2
NOV
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 3
ASP
16%
18%
65%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Esides Caramanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
ESI
2 - 0
PEA
79%
12%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BNY
1 - 5
ESI
34%
21%
46%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ESI
2 - 0
BIA
69%
15%
15%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ASP
3 - 2
ESI
62%
18%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
ESI
1 - 1
RAY
37%
21%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |