Novelda B vs Aspe UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
NOV
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 2
CHE
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
OLI
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 0
NOV
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 2
IDE
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aspe UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ASP
4 - 2
ENG
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 0
ASP
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ASP
4 - 1
LOL
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
POB
0 - 2
ASP
16%
19%
66%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ASP
1 - 1
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |