Novara U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BOL
0 - 1
NOV
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 2
PAR
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAS
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 0
NOV
54%
22%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NOV
4 - 1
CES
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 1
EMP
45%
25%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 1
SPE
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPE
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 0
GEN
49%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 0
SPE
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |