Novara U19 vs Modena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 1
NOV
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 4
VIR
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 0
NOV
11%
20%
70%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
COM
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
SPE
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
GEN
15%
21%
64%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 2
MOD
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOD
58%
22%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
TRA
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 0
MOD
90%
8%
2%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |