Novara U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOV
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 5
NOV
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
GEN
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
EMP
7 - 1
NOV
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 0
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 2
CES
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 0
CES
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CES
2 - 3
SPE
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
CES
33%
26%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CES
4 - 3
PES
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |