Novara U19 vs Carpi U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ATA
3 - 0
NOV
66%
20%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAG
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
SPE
0 - 1
NOV
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
NOV
59%
20%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAL
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Carpi U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAR
9%
16%
75%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
BEN
35%
23%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
PES
2 - 1
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRO
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |