Novara vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GOZ
0 - 0
NOV
27%
28%
46%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 3
CUN
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ARZ
1 - 1
NOV
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 1
LEO
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PIA
0 - 3
NOV
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
ACD
1 - 1
ASL
73%
18%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ACD
0 - 0
SIE
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 0
ACD
29%
30%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
USA
0 - 0
ACD
20%
27%
53%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ACD
3 - 0
PON
74%
18%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |