Novara vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
PRG
1 - 1
NOV
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
PES
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
EMP
1 - 1
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 3
VNZ
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
ACD
0 - 1
FRO
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 0
ACD
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ACD
1 - 1
ASC
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
ACD
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ACD
3 - 2
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |