Novara vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
COM
1 - 0
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
OLB
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PIS
2 - 0
NOV
28%
25%
46%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
PRO
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PER
2 - 0
NOV
26%
24%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 1
LEO
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
LEO
2 - 2
PON
46%
27%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 0
LEO
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
LEO
0 - 2
LIV
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |