Novara vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 2
TER
56%
26%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
NOV
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
4 - 1
AVE
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ACD
1 - 0
NOV
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRO
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 3
ACD
37%
30%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 1
LEO
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 1
BRE
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 0
LEO
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 1
SPE
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |