Novara vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
NOV
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
4 - 1
AVE
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ACD
1 - 0
NOV
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRO
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 0
NOV
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TER
4 - 0
SAL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 0
TER
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TER
2 - 1
MOD
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 0
TER
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TER
1 - 0
TRA
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |