Novara vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPE
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
JUS
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CES
1 - 4
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 2
EMP
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
TER
1 - 0
CRO
30%
27%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
EMP
0 - 2
TER
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TER
0 - 0
CES
30%
28%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
TER
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TER
0 - 1
MOD
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |