Novara vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
LIV
3 - 0
NOV
77%
16%
8%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
NOV
3 - 1
REA
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
NOV
3 - 1
SAS
27%
27%
47%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VER
2 - 1
NOV
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 3
USF
34%
28%
39%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
ACS
1 - 1
SSS
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
SSS
0 - 0
ANC
40%
28%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
MAS
2 - 1
SSS
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SSS
0 - 0
POT
63%
22%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
JUS
0 - 1
SSS
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |