Novara vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
NOV
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 1
RAV
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
NOV
3 - 0
GIU
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
FER
2 - 4
NOV
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 1
NOV
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 0
SSS
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SSS
0 - 0
GIU
54%
27%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 0
SSS
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
SSS
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SSS
3 - 3
PRO
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |