Novara vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1960 |
COM
2 - 2
NOV
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 0
TAR
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
CAT
3 - 1
NOV
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
NOV
3 - 0
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
REG
2 - 1
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1960 |
CAG
1 - 1
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 0
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
FCC
1 - 1
SSS
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
SSS
2 - 0
VNZ
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
ASS
2 - 0
SSS
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |