Novara vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ASS
1 - 0
NOV
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAG
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
USA
2 - 0
NOV
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAT
62%
21%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 0
MES
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
SSS
0 - 1
BAR
49%
23%
27%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
MES
3 - 0
SSS
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
ASS
3 - 1
SSS
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
SSS
3 - 0
TAR
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |