Novara vs Sassari Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
RIM
0 - 0
NOV
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
VAR
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 0
NOV
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SAS
3 - 0
PAV
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 0
SAS
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SAS
0 - 1
PIS
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SAS
1 - 0
REG
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ACP
0 - 0
SAS
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |