Novara vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
BOL
2 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
NOV
2 - 0
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
FIO
2 - 0
NOV
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
NOV
2 - 0
GEN
66%
19%
14%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
NOV
0 - 4
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
SAM
0 - 0
GEN
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
INT
2 - 1
SAM
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
SAM
1 - 0
NAP
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
SAM
2 - 2
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
UNI
2 - 2
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |