Novara vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
TRI
1 - 1
NOV
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
NOV
1 - 1
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
FIO
2 - 0
NOV
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAD
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 1
NOV
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
SAM
2 - 0
JUV
40%
23%
38%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
MOD
2 - 1
SAM
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
SAM
5 - 1
GEN
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SAM
4 - 4
PRO
68%
16%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
FIO
1 - 0
SAM
58%
19%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |