Novara vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
NOV
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 2
NOV
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAG
20%
27%
52%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TER
2 - 0
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PES
4 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
PES
1 - 0
LEO
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 3
PES
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ASC
3 - 1
PES
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PES
1 - 0
CAG
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |