Novara vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
NOV
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
ASC
57%
23%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
0 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 2
PRG
47%
27%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
NOV
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
MOD
2 - 5
PES
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 0
MOD
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 1
CRO
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
3 - 0
PRG
31%
30%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |