Novara vs Lucchese Libertas analysis

Novara Lucchese Libertas
63 ELO 58
-2.1% Tilt 0.3%
2553º General ELO ranking 3068º
80º Country ELO ranking 100º
ELO win probability
65.2%
Novara
20.8%
Draw
14%
Lucchese Libertas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
Novara
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14%
Win probability
Lucchese Libertas
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Novara
-4%
+9%
Lucchese Libertas

ELO progression

Novara
Lucchese Libertas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Novara
Novara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2003
PIS
Pisa SC
0 - 2
Novara
NOV
43%
26%
31%
62 62 0 0
02 Nov. 2003
ACL
Lumezzane
2 - 1
Novara
NOV
39%
25%
36%
63 59 4 -1
26 Oct. 2003
NOV
Novara
2 - 0
Pavia
PAV
66%
20%
14%
63 49 14 0
19 Oct. 2003
SPE
Spezia
3 - 0
Novara
NOV
38%
27%
36%
64 61 3 -1
12 Oct. 2003
NOV
Novara
0 - 0
Padova
PAD
60%
22%
18%
64 60 4 0

Matches

Lucchese Libertas
Lucchese Libertas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2003
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
1 - 1
Rimini
RIM
43%
28%
29%
58 57 1 0
02 Nov. 2003
ARZ
SS Arezzo
2 - 1
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
49%
26%
25%
59 56 3 -1
26 Oct. 2003
PIS
Pisa SC
3 - 3
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
51%
27%
21%
59 63 4 0
19 Oct. 2003
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
1 - 1
Cesena
CES
37%
30%
33%
58 63 5 +1
12 Oct. 2003
PIS
Pistoiese
1 - 1
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
44%
29%
27%
59 56 3 -1