Novara vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
PAD
5 - 0
NOV
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
NOV
3 - 3
PRO
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 2
PRO
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
SAS
1 - 1
NOV
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 0
VER
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 0
SSM
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
LEC
3 - 2
FOL
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 1
SAS
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 0
FOL
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
FOL
2 - 0
VNZ
33%
30%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |