Novara vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
OLB
3 - 3
NOV
38%
26%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 2
PIS
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 3
NOV
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
GRO
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
USA
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 2
COM
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
OLB
3 - 0
COM
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
COM
2 - 2
GRO
59%
23%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
COM
32%
26%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |