Novara vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 1
NOV
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
SPE
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CTT
2 - 2
NOV
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
REG
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 0
NOV
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CTT
1 - 0
CAR
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 3
REG
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 2
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
CES
35%
30%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |