Novara vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
SPE
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
LAT
0 - 1
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
CTT
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 0
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
PIS
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 4
BAR
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 1
BEN
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
LAT
46%
28%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
VER
2 - 2
BEN
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 0
CAR
30%
31%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |