Novara vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
NOV
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRO
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
USA
1 - 3
NOV
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 0
PER
76%
16%
7%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ASS
1 - 1
NOV
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 0
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACL
0 - 0
BEN
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
USC
1 - 1
ACL
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SOR
2 - 2
ACL
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ACL
2 - 0
VAR
61%
23%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |