Novalja vs Stupnik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VNV
2 - 1
NOV
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
SEG
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
DUB
2 - 2
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
NEH
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
ORI
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Stupnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
STU
2 - 1
ROV
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DUG
1 - 2
STU
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
STU
4 - 1
NKC
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NKB
1 - 0
STU
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
STU
1 - 2
NKZ
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |