Novalja vs NK Polet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
16%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
JAP
2 - 0
NOV
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 3
LUK
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
NEH
3 - 0
NOV
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 0
NKG
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
HAS
1 - 0
NOV
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
NK Polet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
NKP
1 - 0
RVG
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
NPI
3 - 2
NKP
16%
22%
63%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
NKP
1 - 1
NKR
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SAM
2 - 0
NKP
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -3 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
NKP
3 - 0
ORI
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |