Novalja vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
OPA
1 - 0
NOV
59%
23%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
NKG
6 - 0
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
STU
60%
22%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VNV
2 - 1
NOV
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
SEG
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
JAP
1 - 0
ROV
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
JAP
3 - 0
NKB
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DUG
1 - 1
JAP
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
JAP
1 - 0
VRB
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NKC
2 - 2
JAP
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |