Novalja vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LUK
2 - 1
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
NEH
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
NKG
1 - 0
NOV
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
3 - 1
HAS
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 1
VRB
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
JAP
3 - 0
RVG
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
NPI
2 - 1
JAP
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
JAP
2 - 0
NKR
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SAM
3 - 0
JAP
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ORI
2 - 0
JAP
30%
26%
45%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -3 |