Novaci vs Bashkimi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
12º
11º
42
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TET
0 - 2
NOV
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 4
BES
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -3 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PEL
4 - 0
NOV
83%
13%
5%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
ARE
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +6 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
2 - 1
NOV
11%
15%
74%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Bashkimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 3
BEL
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OSO
2 - 3
BAS
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
POB
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
OHR
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
2 - 0
BAS
6%
12%
83%
|
64 | 18 | 46 | 0 |