Novaci vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
68.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FKL
4 - 1
NOV
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 2
FKL
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ZAJ
1 - 0
NOV
44%
21%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 3
VLA
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
MAK
1 - 0
NOV
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
FCS
4 - 1
ZAJ
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ZAJ
1 - 5
FCS
13%
22%
65%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VLA
1 - 0
FCS
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
FCS
2 - 0
MAK
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
TET
2 - 0
FCS
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |