Nova Russas vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
55.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Russas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 1
TRA
28%
24%
49%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
NOV
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
CRA
26%
24%
50%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 2
IGU
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
ITA
3 - 0
NOV
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 1
QUI
37%
23%
40%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
IGU
2 - 1
QUI
33%
23%
44%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 2
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
QUI
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 2
ITA
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |