Nova Russas vs Iguatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
49.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Russas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAO
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 1
NOV
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
QUI
23%
21%
55%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 1
TRA
28%
24%
49%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +3 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
NOV
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
IGU
2 - 2
CRA
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
IGU
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
IGU
0 - 0
QUI
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
ARS
4 - 3
IGU
30%
24%
47%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
IGU
2 - 2
PAC
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |